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Annual Market Outlook 2019 - Citibank UK

Market Outlook 2019

Market Outlook 2019

Citi analysts believe the nine-year bull market has not ended as global GDP is projected to grow 3.1% in 2019 and corporate earnings remain strong. However, political risks look likely to remain a factor in 2019 given trade tensions, European political uncertainty and Brexit transition deal. Given that market volatility is likely to remain, what should be the investment outlook to take advantage of opportunities ahead?

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Volatility & Opportunities in the Late Stage Bull Market

Paul Hodes, Citibank Wealth Management Head for Asia, EMEA and UK, discusses with Citi specialists a review of global market volatility in 2018 and potential opportunities for investors in 2019.

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Market Outlook for Investors in 2019 - Citibank UK


Growth Still Supportive, Inflation Remains Steady

Citi analysts still expect global growth of 3.1% in 2019 and inflation to slow its rate of increase to 2.4% in 2019 and 2.5% in 2020.

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Market Outlook basis 2019 Inflation Rates - Citibank UK



Bull Market Late Cycle, Not End Cycle

Citi analysts forecast the nine-year bull market is not finished and expect single-digit percentage gains by end-2019. Within equities, Citi prefers Emerging Markets (EM), particularly Asia, and Europe-ex UK.

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Equity Investment Outlook in 2019 - Citibank UK



Shelter in Times of Volatility

Citi analysts believe that selective regional markets (US Investment Grade, US High Yield and Emerging Market Debt) still offer value.

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Effect of Bond Market Volatility on 2019 Market Outlook - Citibank UK



Recovery Ahead?

Recent slowdown in the global growth outlook, economic divergence and associated slowdown in trade has undermined demand for commodities.

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Impact of Global Outlook on Commodities - Citibank UK



Still Bearish on USD Longer Term

Structural elements driving USD weaker remain in place.

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How will Currencies shape the 2019 Market Outlook - Citibank UK



Risks May Linger

Political risks may linger into 2019 as trade tensions, Italian political uncertainties and Brexit discussions continue, even as economic fundamentals appear strong.

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Brexit and Trade Tensions may impact Investment Outlook in 2019 too - Citibank UK

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