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Positive Political Developments in UK and Europe

19 March 2019Europe

Brexit Transition Deal - The UK parliament has approved the government’s Brexit delay motion by 412-202 votes that would allow the government to seek an Article 50 TEU extension until 30 June if Parliament passes PM May’s deal in a third meaningful vote before next week’s EU summit.

Citi analysts believe recent developments could offer reassurance to investors in sterling and UK assets in general and by extension to the euro zone.

Positive Political Developments in UK and Europe

ECB Announced Additional Stimulus - At its recent board meeting on March 7, the ECB downgraded forecasts on euro zone inflation and growth but also pushed back guidance on rates to the end of 2019 versus summer 2019 (3 months) and announced a new series of six quarterly targeted longer-term refinancing operations (TLTRO-III) for banks to access, starting in September 2019 and with a maturity of two years.

Citi analysts believe that the ECB has through its language been able to arrest the deterioration in risk sentiment while hoping that the nature of the current slowdown could indeed prove transitory.

Citi analysts continue to hold favourable outlooks in both German and Swiss equities, while our preferred sectors are healthcare, IT, financials and consumer discretionary sectors

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